Now that the Democrats have a House majority, David French believes the Dem House will push for impeachment if Mueller’s report is anything other than a complete exoneration. Because the Dem House will have subpoena power, they will aggressively pursue inquiries into Trump’s finances. While conservatives have reason to be encouraged by Senate wins, the bottom line is that the balance of power has shifted. The battle against the media will pale in comparison to the battle against the House.
- Will the new House be able to get Trump’s tax returns released?
- Will investigations prevent the new House from passing policy?
- Will a split Congress make infrastructure policy more likely to pass?
As of this moment, the best estimates for Democratic control of the House indicate a 23-seat majority, 229-206. That’s not huge, but it’s comfortable enough — especially when combined with Democratic exuberance over this new thing called the “House popular vote” — that Democrats will likely feel triumphant. They may even feel as if the “arc of history” is reasserting itself, and they’re building a new governing majority.
As much as they emphasize policy tonight, in the real world that means two things that bear directly on potential impeachment — an aggressive effort to (among other things) investigate President Trump’s finances and an aggressive response to Robert Mueller’s findings (whatever they may be.)
It is difficult to imagine a Democratic House resisting progressive demands for impeachment if Mueller’s report is anything other than an exoneration of Donald Trump. If Mueller comes forward with evidence of obstruction of justice, will Democrats stand down? Will they stand down if there’s any evidence of collusion? But that’s only one factor. As my esteemed colleague Andy McCarthy notes, the Democrats will now possess the subpoena power in the House, and they’ll no doubt use it aggressively to pursue a number of inquiries, including into Trump’s finances. The administration will resist, aggressively, and the ensuing legal battles are going to create their own political dynamics. It could well be that Trump defiance triggers greater Democratic fury — and thus triggers greater appetite for the ultimate confrontation between the legislative and executive branches.